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CMS-PAS-HIG-19-011
Measurement of the ttH and tH production rates in the H $ \to\mathrm{b\overline{b}} $ decay channel with 138 fb$ ^{-1} $ of proton-proton collision data at $ \sqrt{s}= $ 13 TeV
Abstract: An analysis of the production of a Higgs boson (H) in association with a top quark-antiquark pair (ttH) or a single top quark (tH) in the channel where the Higgs boson decays into a bottom quark-antiquark pair (H $\to\mathrm{b\overline{b}} $) is presented. The analysis utilises proton-proton collision data collected at the CERN LHC with the CMS experiment at $ \sqrt{s}= $ 13 TeV between 2016 and 2018, which correspond to an integrated luminosity of 138 fb$ ^{-1} $. All three decay channels of the $ \mathrm{t\overline{t}} $ system are considered. Various signal interpretations are performed. The observed ttH production rate relative to the standard model (SM) expectation is 0.33 $ \pm $ 0.26 $ = $ 0.33 $ \pm $ 0.17 (stat) $ \pm $ 0.21 (syst). Additionally, the ttH production rate is determined in intervals of Higgs boson $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $. An upper limit at 95% confidence level on the tH production rate of 14.6 times the SM expectation is observed, with an expectation of 19.3 $ ^{+9.2}_{-6.0} $. Finally, constraints are derived on the strength and structure of the coupling between the Higgs boson and the top quark from simultaneous extraction of the ttH and tH production rates.
Figures & Tables Summary Additional Figures & Tables References CMS Publications
Figures

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Figure 1:
Representative leading-order Feynman diagrams for the associated production of a Higgs boson and a top quark-antiquark pair (left) and for the associated production of a single top quark and a Higgs boson in the $ t $ channel, where the Higgs boson couples to the top quark (centre) or the W boson (right).

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Figure 1-a:
Representative leading-order Feynman diagrams for the associated production of a Higgs boson and a top quark-antiquark pair (left) and for the associated production of a single top quark and a Higgs boson in the $ t $ channel, where the Higgs boson couples to the top quark (centre) or the W boson (right).

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Figure 1-b:
Representative leading-order Feynman diagrams for the associated production of a Higgs boson and a top quark-antiquark pair (left) and for the associated production of a single top quark and a Higgs boson in the $ t $ channel, where the Higgs boson couples to the top quark (centre) or the W boson (right).

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Figure 1-c:
Representative leading-order Feynman diagrams for the associated production of a Higgs boson and a top quark-antiquark pair (left) and for the associated production of a single top quark and a Higgs boson in the $ t $ channel, where the Higgs boson couples to the top quark (centre) or the W boson (right).

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Figure 2:
Jet multiplicity distribution in the FH (upper left), SL (upper right), and DL (lower) channels, after the baseline selection and prior to the fit to the data. Here, the QCD background prediction is taken from simulation. The expected ttH signal contribution, scaled as indicated in the legend for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 2-a:
Jet multiplicity distribution in the FH (upper left), SL (upper right), and DL (lower) channels, after the baseline selection and prior to the fit to the data. Here, the QCD background prediction is taken from simulation. The expected ttH signal contribution, scaled as indicated in the legend for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 2-b:
Jet multiplicity distribution in the FH (upper left), SL (upper right), and DL (lower) channels, after the baseline selection and prior to the fit to the data. Here, the QCD background prediction is taken from simulation. The expected ttH signal contribution, scaled as indicated in the legend for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 2-c:
Jet multiplicity distribution in the FH (upper left), SL (upper right), and DL (lower) channels, after the baseline selection and prior to the fit to the data. Here, the QCD background prediction is taken from simulation. The expected ttH signal contribution, scaled as indicated in the legend for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 3:
Average $ \Delta\eta $ between any two b-tagged jets (upper), MEM discriminant output (middle), and $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the Higgs boson candidate identified with reconstruction BDT (lower) for events passing the baseline selection requirements and additionally $ \geq $ 6 jets in the SL channel prefit (left) and with the postfit background model (right) obtained from the fit to data described in Section 10. In the prefit case, the ttH signal contribution, scaled by a factor 25 for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). Where applicable, the last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 3-a:
Average $ \Delta\eta $ between any two b-tagged jets (upper), MEM discriminant output (middle), and $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the Higgs boson candidate identified with reconstruction BDT (lower) for events passing the baseline selection requirements and additionally $ \geq $ 6 jets in the SL channel prefit (left) and with the postfit background model (right) obtained from the fit to data described in Section 10. In the prefit case, the ttH signal contribution, scaled by a factor 25 for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). Where applicable, the last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 3-b:
Average $ \Delta\eta $ between any two b-tagged jets (upper), MEM discriminant output (middle), and $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the Higgs boson candidate identified with reconstruction BDT (lower) for events passing the baseline selection requirements and additionally $ \geq $ 6 jets in the SL channel prefit (left) and with the postfit background model (right) obtained from the fit to data described in Section 10. In the prefit case, the ttH signal contribution, scaled by a factor 25 for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). Where applicable, the last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 3-c:
Average $ \Delta\eta $ between any two b-tagged jets (upper), MEM discriminant output (middle), and $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the Higgs boson candidate identified with reconstruction BDT (lower) for events passing the baseline selection requirements and additionally $ \geq $ 6 jets in the SL channel prefit (left) and with the postfit background model (right) obtained from the fit to data described in Section 10. In the prefit case, the ttH signal contribution, scaled by a factor 25 for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). Where applicable, the last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 3-d:
Average $ \Delta\eta $ between any two b-tagged jets (upper), MEM discriminant output (middle), and $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the Higgs boson candidate identified with reconstruction BDT (lower) for events passing the baseline selection requirements and additionally $ \geq $ 6 jets in the SL channel prefit (left) and with the postfit background model (right) obtained from the fit to data described in Section 10. In the prefit case, the ttH signal contribution, scaled by a factor 25 for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). Where applicable, the last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 3-e:
Average $ \Delta\eta $ between any two b-tagged jets (upper), MEM discriminant output (middle), and $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the Higgs boson candidate identified with reconstruction BDT (lower) for events passing the baseline selection requirements and additionally $ \geq $ 6 jets in the SL channel prefit (left) and with the postfit background model (right) obtained from the fit to data described in Section 10. In the prefit case, the ttH signal contribution, scaled by a factor 25 for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). Where applicable, the last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 3-f:
Average $ \Delta\eta $ between any two b-tagged jets (upper), MEM discriminant output (middle), and $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the Higgs boson candidate identified with reconstruction BDT (lower) for events passing the baseline selection requirements and additionally $ \geq $ 6 jets in the SL channel prefit (left) and with the postfit background model (right) obtained from the fit to data described in Section 10. In the prefit case, the ttH signal contribution, scaled by a factor 25 for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). Where applicable, the last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 4:
Minimum $ \Delta R $ between any two b-tagged jets (upper), MEM discriminant output (middle), and $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the Higgs boson candidate identified as pair of b-tagged jets closest in $ \Delta R $ (lower) for events passing the baseline selection requirements and additionally $ \geq $ 4 jets in the DL channel prefit (left) and with the postfit background model (right) obtained from the fit to data described in Section 10. In the prefit case, the ttH signal contribution, scaled by a factor 50 for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). Where applicable, the last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 4-a:
Minimum $ \Delta R $ between any two b-tagged jets (upper), MEM discriminant output (middle), and $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the Higgs boson candidate identified as pair of b-tagged jets closest in $ \Delta R $ (lower) for events passing the baseline selection requirements and additionally $ \geq $ 4 jets in the DL channel prefit (left) and with the postfit background model (right) obtained from the fit to data described in Section 10. In the prefit case, the ttH signal contribution, scaled by a factor 50 for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). Where applicable, the last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 4-b:
Minimum $ \Delta R $ between any two b-tagged jets (upper), MEM discriminant output (middle), and $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the Higgs boson candidate identified as pair of b-tagged jets closest in $ \Delta R $ (lower) for events passing the baseline selection requirements and additionally $ \geq $ 4 jets in the DL channel prefit (left) and with the postfit background model (right) obtained from the fit to data described in Section 10. In the prefit case, the ttH signal contribution, scaled by a factor 50 for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). Where applicable, the last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 4-c:
Minimum $ \Delta R $ between any two b-tagged jets (upper), MEM discriminant output (middle), and $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the Higgs boson candidate identified as pair of b-tagged jets closest in $ \Delta R $ (lower) for events passing the baseline selection requirements and additionally $ \geq $ 4 jets in the DL channel prefit (left) and with the postfit background model (right) obtained from the fit to data described in Section 10. In the prefit case, the ttH signal contribution, scaled by a factor 50 for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). Where applicable, the last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 4-d:
Minimum $ \Delta R $ between any two b-tagged jets (upper), MEM discriminant output (middle), and $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the Higgs boson candidate identified as pair of b-tagged jets closest in $ \Delta R $ (lower) for events passing the baseline selection requirements and additionally $ \geq $ 4 jets in the DL channel prefit (left) and with the postfit background model (right) obtained from the fit to data described in Section 10. In the prefit case, the ttH signal contribution, scaled by a factor 50 for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). Where applicable, the last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 4-e:
Minimum $ \Delta R $ between any two b-tagged jets (upper), MEM discriminant output (middle), and $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the Higgs boson candidate identified as pair of b-tagged jets closest in $ \Delta R $ (lower) for events passing the baseline selection requirements and additionally $ \geq $ 4 jets in the DL channel prefit (left) and with the postfit background model (right) obtained from the fit to data described in Section 10. In the prefit case, the ttH signal contribution, scaled by a factor 50 for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). Where applicable, the last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 4-f:
Minimum $ \Delta R $ between any two b-tagged jets (upper), MEM discriminant output (middle), and $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the Higgs boson candidate identified as pair of b-tagged jets closest in $ \Delta R $ (lower) for events passing the baseline selection requirements and additionally $ \geq $ 4 jets in the DL channel prefit (left) and with the postfit background model (right) obtained from the fit to data described in Section 10. In the prefit case, the ttH signal contribution, scaled by a factor 50 for better visibility, is also overlayed (line). Where applicable, the last bins include overflow events.

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Figure 5:
Illustration of the analysis strategy for the inclusive ttH and tH signal-strength modifier and coupling and CP measurements (upper) and for the ttH STXS measurement (lower). The procedure is applied separately for the three years of data taking.

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Figure 5-a:
Illustration of the analysis strategy for the inclusive ttH and tH signal-strength modifier and coupling and CP measurements (upper) and for the ttH STXS measurement (lower). The procedure is applied separately for the three years of data taking.

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Figure 5-b:
Illustration of the analysis strategy for the inclusive ttH and tH signal-strength modifier and coupling and CP measurements (upper) and for the ttH STXS measurement (lower). The procedure is applied separately for the three years of data taking.

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Figure 6:
Categorisation efficiency of the ttH signal events in the STXS analysis in the different categories of the FH channel (upper row, middle row left), the SL channel (middle row right, lower row left), and the DL channel (lower row right).

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Figure 6-a:
Categorisation efficiency of the ttH signal events in the STXS analysis in the different categories of the FH channel (upper row, middle row left), the SL channel (middle row right, lower row left), and the DL channel (lower row right).

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Figure 6-b:
Categorisation efficiency of the ttH signal events in the STXS analysis in the different categories of the FH channel (upper row, middle row left), the SL channel (middle row right, lower row left), and the DL channel (lower row right).

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Figure 6-c:
Categorisation efficiency of the ttH signal events in the STXS analysis in the different categories of the FH channel (upper row, middle row left), the SL channel (middle row right, lower row left), and the DL channel (lower row right).

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Figure 6-d:
Categorisation efficiency of the ttH signal events in the STXS analysis in the different categories of the FH channel (upper row, middle row left), the SL channel (middle row right, lower row left), and the DL channel (lower row right).

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Figure 6-e:
Categorisation efficiency of the ttH signal events in the STXS analysis in the different categories of the FH channel (upper row, middle row left), the SL channel (middle row right, lower row left), and the DL channel (lower row right).

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Figure 6-f:
Categorisation efficiency of the ttH signal events in the STXS analysis in the different categories of the FH channel (upper row, middle row left), the SL channel (middle row right, lower row left), and the DL channel (lower row right).

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Figure 7:
Observed (points) and postfit expected (filled histograms) yields in each discriminant (category yield, ANN score, or ratio of ANN scores) bin for the 2016 (upper), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (lower) data-taking periods. The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the postfit expected signal+background to the background-only contribution (line).

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Figure 7-a:
Observed (points) and postfit expected (filled histograms) yields in each discriminant (category yield, ANN score, or ratio of ANN scores) bin for the 2016 (upper), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (lower) data-taking periods. The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the postfit expected signal+background to the background-only contribution (line).

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Figure 7-b:
Observed (points) and postfit expected (filled histograms) yields in each discriminant (category yield, ANN score, or ratio of ANN scores) bin for the 2016 (upper), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (lower) data-taking periods. The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the postfit expected signal+background to the background-only contribution (line).

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Figure 7-c:
Observed (points) and postfit expected (filled histograms) yields in each discriminant (category yield, ANN score, or ratio of ANN scores) bin for the 2016 (upper), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (lower) data-taking periods. The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the postfit expected signal+background to the background-only contribution (line).

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Figure 8:
Best-fit results of the ttH signal-strength modifier $ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}} $ in each channel (upper three rows), in each year (middle three rows), and in the combination of all channels and years (lower row). Uncertainties are correlated between the channels and years.

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Figure 9:
Observed likelihood-ratio test statistic (blue shading) as a function of the ttH signal-strength modifier $ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}} $ and the $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{B} $ background normalisation, together with the observed (blue) and SM expected (black) best-fit points (cross and diamond markers) as well as the 68% (solid lines) and 95% (dashed lines) CL regions. The $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{C} $ background normalisation and all other nuisance parameters are profiled such that the likelihood attains its minimum at each point in the plane.

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Figure 10:
Postfit values of the nuisance parameters (black markers), shown as the difference of their best-fit values, $ \hat{\theta} $, and prefit values, $ \theta_{0} $, relative to the prefit uncertainties $ \Delta\theta $. The impact $ \Delta\hat{\mu} $ of the nuisance parameters on the signal strength $ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}} $ is computed as the difference of the nominal best fit value of $ \mu $ and the best fit value obtained when fixing the nuisance parameter under scrutiny to its best fit value $ \hat{\theta} $ plus/minus its postfit uncertainty (coloured areas). The nuisance parameters are ordered by their impact, and only the 20 highest ranked parameters are shown.

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Figure 11:
Observed (points) and postfit expected (filled histograms) yields in each STXS analysis discriminant bin in the signal regions of the SL and DL channels for the 2016 (upper), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (lower) data-taking periods. The fitted signal distributions (lines labelled ttH 1 to 5) in each Higgs boson $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ bin are shown in the middle pads. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the postfit expected total signal+background to the background-only contribution (line). The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model.

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Figure 11-a:
Observed (points) and postfit expected (filled histograms) yields in each STXS analysis discriminant bin in the signal regions of the SL and DL channels for the 2016 (upper), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (lower) data-taking periods. The fitted signal distributions (lines labelled ttH 1 to 5) in each Higgs boson $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ bin are shown in the middle pads. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the postfit expected total signal+background to the background-only contribution (line). The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model.

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Figure 11-b:
Observed (points) and postfit expected (filled histograms) yields in each STXS analysis discriminant bin in the signal regions of the SL and DL channels for the 2016 (upper), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (lower) data-taking periods. The fitted signal distributions (lines labelled ttH 1 to 5) in each Higgs boson $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ bin are shown in the middle pads. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the postfit expected total signal+background to the background-only contribution (line). The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model.

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Figure 11-c:
Observed (points) and postfit expected (filled histograms) yields in each STXS analysis discriminant bin in the signal regions of the SL and DL channels for the 2016 (upper), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (lower) data-taking periods. The fitted signal distributions (lines labelled ttH 1 to 5) in each Higgs boson $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ bin are shown in the middle pads. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the postfit expected total signal+background to the background-only contribution (line). The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model.

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Figure 12:
Best-fit results of the ttH signal-strength modifiers $ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}} $ in the different bins of Higgs boson $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ (left) and their correlations (right) of the STXS measurement.

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Figure 12-a:
Best-fit results of the ttH signal-strength modifiers $ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}} $ in the different bins of Higgs boson $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ (left) and their correlations (right) of the STXS measurement.

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Figure 12-b:
Best-fit results of the ttH signal-strength modifiers $ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}} $ in the different bins of Higgs boson $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ (left) and their correlations (right) of the STXS measurement.

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Figure 13:
Observed (solid vertical line) and expected (dashed vertical line) upper 95% CL limit on the tH signal strength modifier $ \mu_{\mathrm{t}\mathrm{H}} $ for different channels and years, where the uncertainties are uncorrelated between the channels and years, and in their combination. The green (yellow) areas indicate the one (two) standard deviation confidence intervals on the expected limit.

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Figure 14:
Observed likelihood-ratio test statistic (blue shading) as a function of the ttH and tH signal strength modifiers $ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}} $ and $ \mu_{\mathrm{t}\mathrm{H}} $, together with the observed (blue) and SM expected (black) best-fit points (cross and diamond markers) as well as the 68% (solid lines) and 95% (dashed lines) CL regions.

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Figure 15:
Observed likelihood ratio test statistic (blue shading) as a function of $ \kappa_{\mathrm{t}} $ and $ \kappa_{\text{V}} $, together with the observed (blue) and SM expected (black) best-fit points (cross and diamond markers) as well as the 68% (solid lines) and 95% (dashed lines) CL regions (left). The observed (solid blue line) and expected (dotted black line) values of the likelihood ratio for $ \kappa_{\text{V}}= $ 1 are also shown (right), together with the 1 (green area) and 2 (yellow area) standard deviations confidence intervals.

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Figure 15-a:
Observed likelihood ratio test statistic (blue shading) as a function of $ \kappa_{\mathrm{t}} $ and $ \kappa_{\text{V}} $, together with the observed (blue) and SM expected (black) best-fit points (cross and diamond markers) as well as the 68% (solid lines) and 95% (dashed lines) CL regions (left). The observed (solid blue line) and expected (dotted black line) values of the likelihood ratio for $ \kappa_{\text{V}}= $ 1 are also shown (right), together with the 1 (green area) and 2 (yellow area) standard deviations confidence intervals.

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Figure 15-b:
Observed likelihood ratio test statistic (blue shading) as a function of $ \kappa_{\mathrm{t}} $ and $ \kappa_{\text{V}} $, together with the observed (blue) and SM expected (black) best-fit points (cross and diamond markers) as well as the 68% (solid lines) and 95% (dashed lines) CL regions (left). The observed (solid blue line) and expected (dotted black line) values of the likelihood ratio for $ \kappa_{\text{V}}= $ 1 are also shown (right), together with the 1 (green area) and 2 (yellow area) standard deviations confidence intervals.

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Figure 16:
Observed likelihood ratio test statistic (blue shading) as a function of $ \kappa_{\mathrm{t}} $ and $ \tilde{\kappa}_{\mathrm{t}} $, where $ \kappa_{\text{V}}= $ 1, together with the observed (blue) and SM expected (black) best-fit points (cross and diamond markers) as well as the 68% (solid lines) and 95% (dashed lines) CL regions (left).

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Figure 17:
The observed (solid blue line) and expected (dotted black line) likelihood ratio test statistic as a function of $ f_{\text{CP}} $ (left) and $ \cos\alpha $ (right), where $ \kappa_{\text{V}} $ is 1 and $ \kappa^{\prime}_{\mathrm{t}}=\sqrt{\tilde{\kappa}_{\mathrm{t}}^{2}+\kappa_{\mathrm{t}}^{2}} $, the overall modifier of the top-Higgs coupling strength, is profiled such that the likelihood attains its minimum at each point in the plane.

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Figure 17-a:
The observed (solid blue line) and expected (dotted black line) likelihood ratio test statistic as a function of $ f_{\text{CP}} $ (left) and $ \cos\alpha $ (right), where $ \kappa_{\text{V}} $ is 1 and $ \kappa^{\prime}_{\mathrm{t}}=\sqrt{\tilde{\kappa}_{\mathrm{t}}^{2}+\kappa_{\mathrm{t}}^{2}} $, the overall modifier of the top-Higgs coupling strength, is profiled such that the likelihood attains its minimum at each point in the plane.

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Figure 17-b:
The observed (solid blue line) and expected (dotted black line) likelihood ratio test statistic as a function of $ f_{\text{CP}} $ (left) and $ \cos\alpha $ (right), where $ \kappa_{\text{V}} $ is 1 and $ \kappa^{\prime}_{\mathrm{t}}=\sqrt{\tilde{\kappa}_{\mathrm{t}}^{2}+\kappa_{\mathrm{t}}^{2}} $, the overall modifier of the top-Higgs coupling strength, is profiled such that the likelihood attains its minimum at each point in the plane.
Tables

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Table 1:
Trigger selection criteria in the fully-hadronic (FH) channel. Multiple triggers, each represented by one row, are used per year and combined with a logical OR. In the case of the four-jet trigger, the minimum jet $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ is different for each jet and separated by a slash (/).

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Table 2:
Generator version and configuration of the $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} $ and $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{b}\overline{\mathrm{b}} $ samples. The parameters $m_{\mathrm{t}}$ and $m_{\mathrm{b}}$ denote the top quark and bottom quark mass, respectively, $m_{\mathrm{T},\mathrm{t}}$, $m_{\mathrm{T},\mathrm{b}}$, and $m_{\mathrm{T},\mathrm{g}}$ the transverse mass of the top quark, the bottom quark, and additional gluons, respectively, and $ h_{\text{damp}} $ the parton-shower matching scale.

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Table 3:
Baseline selection criteria in the fully-hadronic (FH), single-lepton (SL), and dilepton (DL) channels based on the observables defined in the text. Where the criteria differ per year of data taking, they are quoted as three values, corresponding to 2016/2017/2018, respectively.

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Table 4:
Categorisation scheme in the FH channel, applied independently in each jet-multiplicity category. The $m_{\mathrm{qq}}$ selection criteria refer to events with 7 or 8 ($ \geq $ 9) jets.

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Table 5:
Observables used as input variables to the ANN per channel. Observables marked with a $ ^{\dagger} $ are constructed using information from the BDT-based event reconstruction.

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Table 6:
Systematic uncertainties considered in the analysis. ``Type'' refers to rate (R) or rate and shape (S) altering uncertainties. ``Correlation'' indicates whether the uncertainty is treated as correlated, partially correlated (as detailed in the text), or uncorrelated across the years 2016--18. Uncertainties for $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} $+jets events marked with a $ ^{\dagger} $ are treated as partially correlated between each of the STXS categories and the other categories in the STXS analysis.

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Table 7:
Best-fit results of the ttH signal-strength modifier $ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}} $ in each channel and in their combination. Uncertainties are correlated between the channels.

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Table 8:
Contributions of different sources of uncertainty to the result for the fit to the data (observed) and to the expectation from simulation (expected). The quoted uncertainties $ \Delta\mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}} $ in $ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}} $ are obtained by fixing the listed sources of uncertainties to their postfit values in the fit and subtracting the obtained result in quadrature from the result of the full fit. The statistical uncertainty is evaluated by fixing all nuisance parameters to their postfit values and repeating the fit. The quadratic sum of the contributions is different from the total uncertainty because of correlations between the nuisance parameters.

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Table 9:
Best-fit results of the ttH signal-strength modifier $ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}} $ in the different bins of Higgs boson $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ of the STXS measurement.
Summary
A combined analysis of the associated production of a Higgs boson (H) with a top quark-antiquark pair (ttH) or a single top quark (tH) with the Higgs boson decaying into a bottom quark-antiquark pair has been presented. The analysis has been performed using pp collision data recorded with the CMS detector at a centre-of-mass energy of 13 TeV, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of $ \mathcal{L} $. Candidate events are selected in mutually exclusive categories according to the lepton and jet multiplicity, targeting all decay channels of the $ \mathrm{t} \overline{\mathrm{t}} $ system. Neural network discriminants are used to further categorise the events according to the most probable process, targeting the signal and different topologies of the dominant $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} $+jets background, as well as to separate the signal from the background. Compared to previous CMS results in this channel, several updates of the analysis strategy as well as modelling of the $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} $+jets background based on state-of-the art $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{b}\overline{\mathrm{b}} $ simulations have been adopted, and an extended set of interpretations is performed. A best-fit value of the ttH production cross section relative to the standard model (SM) expectation of 0.33 $ \pm $ 0.26 $ = $ 0.33 $ \pm $ 0.17 (stat) $ \pm $ 0.21 (syst) is obtained. The analysis is additionally performed within the Simplified Template Cross Section framework in five intervals of Higgs boson $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $, probing potential $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ dependent deviations from the SM expectation. An observed (expected) upper limit on the tH production cross section relative to the SM expectation of 14.6 (19.3) at 95% confidence level is derived. Information on the Higgs boson coupling strength is furthermore inferred from a simultaneous fit of the ttH and tH production rates, probing either the coupling strength of the Higgs boson to top quarks and to heavy vector bosons, or possible CP-odd admixtures in the coupling between the Higgs boson and top quarks.
Additional Figures

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Additional Figure 1:
Transverse momentum of leading jet, ranked in $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $, for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the The last bins include overflow events. category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

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Additional Figure 1-a:
Transverse momentum of leading jet, ranked in $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $, for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the The last bins include overflow events. category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

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Additional Figure 1-b:
Transverse momentum of leading jet, ranked in $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $, for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the The last bins include overflow events. category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

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Additional Figure 2:
Transverse momentum of third leading b-tagged jet, ranked in $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $, for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the ($\geq$6 jets, $\geq$4 b tags) category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

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Additional Figure 2-a:
Transverse momentum of third leading b-tagged jet, ranked in $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $, for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the ($\geq$6 jets, $\geq$4 b tags) category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

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Additional Figure 2-b:
Transverse momentum of third leading b-tagged jet, ranked in $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $, for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the ($\geq$6 jets, $\geq$4 b tags) category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

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Additional Figure 3:
b tagging discriminant value of leading jet, ranked in $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $, for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the ($\geq$6 jets, $\geq$4 b tags) category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty.

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Additional Figure 3-a:
b tagging discriminant value of leading jet, ranked in $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $, for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the ($\geq$6 jets, $\geq$4 b tags) category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty.

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Additional Figure 3-b:
b tagging discriminant value of leading jet, ranked in $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $, for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the ($\geq$6 jets, $\geq$4 b tags) category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty.

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Additional Figure 4:
Third highest b tagging discriminant value of all jets for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the ($\geq$6 jets, $\geq$4 b tags) category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty.

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Additional Figure 4-a:
Third highest b tagging discriminant value of all jets for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the ($\geq$6 jets, $\geq$4 b tags) category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty.

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Additional Figure 4-b:
Third highest b tagging discriminant value of all jets for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the ($\geq$6 jets, $\geq$4 b tags) category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty.

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Additional Figure 5:
Transverse momentum of pair of b-tagged jets closest in $ \Delta R $ for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the ($\geq$6 jets, $\geq$4 b tags) category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

png pdf
Additional Figure 5-a:
Transverse momentum of pair of b-tagged jets closest in $ \Delta R $ for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the ($\geq$6 jets, $\geq$4 b tags) category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

png pdf
Additional Figure 5-b:
Transverse momentum of pair of b-tagged jets closest in $ \Delta R $ for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the ($\geq$6 jets, $\geq$4 b tags) category, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

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Additional Figure 6:
Invariant mass of pair of b-tagged jets with mass closest to 125 GeV for events in the DL channel after the baseline selection, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

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Additional Figure 6-a:
Invariant mass of pair of b-tagged jets with mass closest to 125 GeV for events in the DL channel after the baseline selection, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

png pdf
Additional Figure 6-b:
Invariant mass of pair of b-tagged jets with mass closest to 125 GeV for events in the DL channel after the baseline selection, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

png pdf
Additional Figure 7:
Transverse momentum of pair of b-tagged jets with mass closest to 125 GeV for events in the DL channel after the baseline selection, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

png pdf
Additional Figure 7-a:
Transverse momentum of pair of b-tagged jets with mass closest to 125 GeV for events in the DL channel after the baseline selection, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

png pdf
Additional Figure 7-b:
Transverse momentum of pair of b-tagged jets with mass closest to 125 GeV for events in the DL channel after the baseline selection, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

png pdf
Additional Figure 8:
Transverse momentum of pair of b-tagged jets closest in $ \Delta R $ for events in the DL channel after the baseline selection, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

png pdf
Additional Figure 8-a:
Transverse momentum of pair of b-tagged jets closest in $ \Delta R $ for events in the DL channel after the baseline selection, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

png pdf
Additional Figure 8-b:
Transverse momentum of pair of b-tagged jets closest in $ \Delta R $ for events in the DL channel after the baseline selection, prefit (left) and with the postfit background model obtained from the fit of the final classifier distributions to data (right). The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bins include overflow events.

png pdf
Additional Figure 9:
Average $ \Delta\eta $ between any two b-tagged jets for events in the SL channel after the baseline selection in the ($\geq$6 jets, $\geq$4 b tags) category prior to the fit to data, where the $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{B} $ background contribution has been estimated using the $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} $ 5 FS sample. The uncertainty band represents the total uncertainty. The last bin includes overflow events.

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Additional Figure 10:
Validation of the QCD background estimation procedure: ANN output distribution observed in data compared to the predicted contributions from QCD (from data-driven procedure) and from other background processes (from simulation) in the ($\geq$9 jets, $\geq$4 b tags) validation region of the FH channel.

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Additional Figure 11:
Prefit expected (filled histograms) and observed (points) yields in each discriminant bin for the 2016 (top), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (bottom) data-taking periods. The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the prefit expected signal+background to the background-only contribution (line).

png pdf
Additional Figure 11-a:
Prefit expected (filled histograms) and observed (points) yields in each discriminant bin for the 2016 (top), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (bottom) data-taking periods. The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the prefit expected signal+background to the background-only contribution (line).

png pdf
Additional Figure 11-b:
Prefit expected (filled histograms) and observed (points) yields in each discriminant bin for the 2016 (top), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (bottom) data-taking periods. The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the prefit expected signal+background to the background-only contribution (line).

png pdf
Additional Figure 11-c:
Prefit expected (filled histograms) and observed (points) yields in each discriminant bin for the 2016 (top), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (bottom) data-taking periods. The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the prefit expected signal+background to the background-only contribution (line).

png pdf
Additional Figure 12:
Observed (points) and prefit expected (filled histograms) yields in each STXS analysis discriminant bin in the signal regions of the SL and DL channels for the 2016 (top), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (bottom) data-taking periods. The signal distributions in each Higgs boson $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ bin are also overlayed (lines labelled $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H} $ 1 to 5). The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the prefit expected signal+background to the background-only contribution (lines).

png pdf
Additional Figure 12-a:
Observed (points) and prefit expected (filled histograms) yields in each STXS analysis discriminant bin in the signal regions of the SL and DL channels for the 2016 (top), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (bottom) data-taking periods. The signal distributions in each Higgs boson $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ bin are also overlayed (lines labelled $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H} $ 1 to 5). The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the prefit expected signal+background to the background-only contribution (lines).

png pdf
Additional Figure 12-b:
Observed (points) and prefit expected (filled histograms) yields in each STXS analysis discriminant bin in the signal regions of the SL and DL channels for the 2016 (top), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (bottom) data-taking periods. The signal distributions in each Higgs boson $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ bin are also overlayed (lines labelled $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H} $ 1 to 5). The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the prefit expected signal+background to the background-only contribution (lines).

png pdf
Additional Figure 12-c:
Observed (points) and prefit expected (filled histograms) yields in each STXS analysis discriminant bin in the signal regions of the SL and DL channels for the 2016 (top), 2017 (middle), and 2018 (bottom) data-taking periods. The signal distributions in each Higgs boson $ p_{\mathrm{T}} $ bin are also overlayed (lines labelled $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H} $ 1 to 5). The uncertainty bands include the total uncertainty of the fit model. The lower pads show the ratio of the data to the background (points) and of the prefit expected signal+background to the background-only contribution (lines).

png pdf
Additional Figure 13:
Postfit values of the nuisance parameters (black markers) in the STXS analysis, shown as the difference of their best-fit values, $ \hat{\theta} $, and prefit values, $ \theta_{0} $, relative to the prefit uncertainties $ \Delta\theta $. The impact $ \Delta\hat{\mu}_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}}^{i} $ of the nuisance parameters on the signal strength $ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}}^{i} $ in the $ i $-th STXS bin is computed as the difference of the nominal best fit value of $ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}}^{i} $ and the best fit value obtained when fixing the nuisance parameter under scrutiny to its best fit value $ \hat{\theta} $ plus/minus its postfit uncertainty (coloured areas). The nuisance parameters are ordered by the quadratic sum of their relative impacts on all five $ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}}^{i} $, and only the 20 highest ranked parameters are shown.

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Additional Figure 14:
Correlations of the best-fit $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H} $ signal-strength modifiers $ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}}^{i} $ in the different STXS bins $ i $ and the global ($ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{B} $) and per-bin ($ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{B}\;i $) $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{B} $ background normalisation parameters.
Additional Tables

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Additional Table 1:
Results of background model robustness tests performed in the SL+DL channels. For the tests, pseudo data are generated sampling the $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{B} $ component from alternative $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{B} $ predictions, and fitted using the nominal signal+background model. The injected signal corresponds to the SM expectation ($ \mu_{{\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{H}} = $ 1). Pseudo data are sampled in different scenarios. First, the data are sampled from the nominal background model used in the analysis, as a cross-check. Second, the $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{B} $ yield from the $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \mathrm{b}\overline{\mathrm{b}} $ sample is scaled by a factor 1.2. In the next two tests, the $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{B} $ component is taken from the $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} $ sample, once at its nominal value and once scaling its yield up by a factor 1.2. The table lists the mean values of the best-fit signal strength modifier, as well as the $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{B} $ and $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{C} $ background normalisation parameters obtained in the fits to the pseudo data. The quoted uncertainty corresponds to the RMS of the distributions. The statistical uncertainty on the mean values is below 1%. In all cases the fitted signal strength is compatible with the injected value of 1, showing that the fit is robust against potential mismodelling of the $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{B} $ component. Also the $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{B} $ and $ {\mathrm{t}\overline{\mathrm{t}}} \text{C} $ normalisations are compatible with the injected values within.
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Compact Muon Solenoid
LHC, CERN