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CMS-PAS-FTR-18-015
Projection of differential $\mathrm{t\bar{t}}$ production cross section measurements in the e/$\mu$+jets channels in pp collisions at the HL-LHC
Abstract: A study of the resolved reconstruction of top quark pairs in the e/$\mu$+jets channels and a projection of differential $\mathrm{t\bar{t}}$ cross section measurements at the HL-LHC with an integrated luminosity of 3 ab$^{-1}$ at 14 TeV are presented. The analysis techniques are based on previous measurements of differential $\mathrm{t\bar{t}}$ cross sections at 13 TeV. It is shown that such a measurement is feasible at the HL-LHC despite the expected large number of pileup interactions. The precision of the differential cross section will profit from the enormous amount of data and the extended $\eta$-range of the Phase-2 CMS detector. The results are used to estimate the improvement of constraints on parton distribution functions.
Figures Summary References CMS Publications
Figures

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Figure 1:
Distributions of $\lambda $ and the reconstructed $ {m_ {\mathrm {t}}} $ of the hadronically decaying top quarks are shown for the Phase-2 simulation.

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Figure 1-a:
Distributions of $\lambda $ and the reconstructed $ {m_ {\mathrm {t}}} $ of the hadronically decaying top quarks are shown for the Phase-2 simulation.

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Figure 1-b:
Distributions of $\lambda $ and the reconstructed $ {m_ {\mathrm {t}}} $ of the hadronically decaying top quarks are shown for the Phase-2 simulation.

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Figure 2:
Expected signal yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}})$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 2-a:
Expected signal yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}})$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 2-b:
Expected signal yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}})$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 3:
Expected signal yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}}) |}$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 3-a:
Expected signal yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}}) |}$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 3-b:
Expected signal yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}}) |}$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 4:
Migration matrix (upper) and its properties (middle, lower) for the double-differential measurements as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$. There are four $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ distributions for different regions of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$. The large off-diagonal structures in the migration matrix correspond to migrations among $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ regions. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 4-a:
Migration matrix (upper) and its properties (middle, lower) for the double-differential measurements as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$. There are four $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ distributions for different regions of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$. The large off-diagonal structures in the migration matrix correspond to migrations among $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ regions. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 4-b:
Migration matrix (upper) and its properties (middle, lower) for the double-differential measurements as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$. There are four $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ distributions for different regions of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$. The large off-diagonal structures in the migration matrix correspond to migrations among $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ regions. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 4-c:
Migration matrix (upper) and its properties (middle, lower) for the double-differential measurements as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$. There are four $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ distributions for different regions of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$. The large off-diagonal structures in the migration matrix correspond to migrations among $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ regions. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 4-d:
Migration matrix (upper) and its properties (middle, lower) for the double-differential measurements as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$. There are four $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ distributions for different regions of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$. The large off-diagonal structures in the migration matrix correspond to migrations among $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ regions. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 4-e:
Migration matrix (upper) and its properties (middle, lower) for the double-differential measurements as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$. There are four $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ distributions for different regions of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$. The large off-diagonal structures in the migration matrix correspond to migrations among $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ regions. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 5:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 5-a:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 5-b:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 5-c:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 5-d:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 6:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 6-a:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 6-b:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 6-c:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 6-d:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 7:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (upper), $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (middle), and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 7-a:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (upper), $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (middle), and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 7-b:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (upper), $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (middle), and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 7-c:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (upper), $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (middle), and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 7-d:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (upper), $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (middle), and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 7-e:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (upper), $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (middle), and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 7-f:
Differential cross sections (left) as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (upper), $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (middle), and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 8:
Projections of the normalized double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 8-a:
Projections of the normalized double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 8-b:
Projections of the normalized double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 8-c:
Projections of the normalized double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 8-d:
Projections of the normalized double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 9:
Projections of the normalized double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 9-a:
Projections of the normalized double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 9-b:
Projections of the normalized double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 9-c:
Projections of the normalized double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 9-d:
Projections of the normalized double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 10:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled ABMP16 PDF set.

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Figure 10-a:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled ABMP16 PDF set.

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Figure 10-b:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled ABMP16 PDF set.

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Figure 10-c:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled ABMP16 PDF set.

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Figure 10-d:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled ABMP16 PDF set.

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Figure 11:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled CT14 PDF set.

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Figure 11-a:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled CT14 PDF set.

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Figure 11-b:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled CT14 PDF set.

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Figure 11-c:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled CT14 PDF set.

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Figure 11-d:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled CT14 PDF set.

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Figure 12:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled NNPDF3.1 PDF set.

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Figure 12-a:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled NNPDF3.1 PDF set.

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Figure 12-b:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled NNPDF3.1 PDF set.

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Figure 12-c:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled NNPDF3.1 PDF set.

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Figure 12-d:
The relative gluon (upper left), u valence quark (upper right), sea quark (lower left), and d valence quark (lower right) uncertainties of the original and profiled NNPDF3.1 PDF set.

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Figure 13:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell})$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 13-a:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell})$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 13-b:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell})$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 14:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell}) |}$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 14-a:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell}) |}$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 14-b:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell}) |}$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 15:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 15-a:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 15-b:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 16:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 16-a:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 16-b:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 17:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 17-a:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 17-b:
Expected event yields (left) and properties of the migration matrix (right) for the measurement of $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$. For comparison the properties are also shown for the 2016 analysis [2].

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Figure 18:
Normalized differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 18-a:
Normalized differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 18-b:
Normalized differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 18-c:
Normalized differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 18-d:
Normalized differential cross sections (left) as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\mathrm {h}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 19:
Normalized differential cross section as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 19-a:
Normalized differential cross section as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 19-b:
Normalized differential cross section as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 19-c:
Normalized differential cross section as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 19-d:
Normalized differential cross section as a function of $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell})$ (upper) and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}} _\ell}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 20:
Normalized differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (upper), $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (middle), and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 20-a:
Normalized differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (upper), $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (middle), and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 20-b:
Normalized differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (upper), $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (middle), and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 20-c:
Normalized differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (upper), $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (middle), and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 20-d:
Normalized differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (upper), $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (middle), and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 20-e:
Normalized differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (upper), $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (middle), and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 20-f:
Normalized differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (upper), $ {p_{\mathrm {T}}} ({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ (middle), and $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (lower). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 21:
Projections of the double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 21-a:
Projections of the double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 21-b:
Projections of the double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 21-c:
Projections of the double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 21-d:
Projections of the double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

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Figure 22:
Projections of the double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

png pdf
Figure 22-a:
Projections of the double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

png pdf
Figure 22-b:
Projections of the double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

png pdf
Figure 22-c:
Projections of the double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].

png pdf
Figure 22-d:
Projections of the double-differential cross section as a function of $M({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}})$ vs. $ {| y({{\mathrm {t}\overline {\mathrm {t}}}}) |}$ (left). The corresponding relative uncertainties (right) in the Phase-2 projections are compared to the uncertainties in the 2016 measurements [2].
Summary
A projection of differential $\mathrm{t\bar{t}}$ cross section measurements at the HL-LHC has been shown. Using pileup mitigation techniques like PUPPI these measurements become feasible in an environment of 200 pileup events. The high amount of data and the extended $\eta$-range of the Phase-2 detector allow for fine-binned measurements in phase-space regions -- especially at high rapidity -- that are not accessible in current measurements. The most significant reduction of uncertainty is expected because of an improved jet energy calibration and a reduced uncertainty in the b jet identification. It is demonstrated that the projected differential $\mathrm{t\bar{t}}$ cross sections have a strong impact on the gluon distribution in the proton. Overall, this measurement will profit from both, the improved Phase-2 CMS detector and the high amount of data expected at the HL-LHC.
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